Bitcoin Market Sentiment and Trader Performance Analysis by Vaibhav KumarBitcoin Market Sentiment and Trader Performance Analysis by Vaibhav Kumar

Bitcoin Market Sentiment and Trader Performance Analysis

Vaibhav Kumar

Vaibhav Kumar

Bitcoin Market Sentiment vs Trader Performance Analysis

Project Overview

This project explores the relationship between Bitcoin market sentiment and trader performance using the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Dataset and the Historical Trader Dataset.
The objective is to identify how market sentiment influences trading behavior, profitability, win rates, trading volume, and overall trader performance.

Datasets Used

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Dataset

Date
Classification
Value

Historical Trader Dataset

Account
Coin
Execution Price
Size USD
Side
Timestamp IST
Closed PnL
Fee
Trade ID

Analysis Performed

Data Cleaning and Preprocessing
Dataset Integration
Sentiment Distribution Analysis
Average Profitability Analysis
Total Profitability Analysis
Win Rate Analysis
Trading Volume Analysis
Buy vs Sell Behavior Analysis
Average Trade Size Analysis
Most Profitable Assets Analysis

Key Findings

Extreme Greed delivered the highest average profitability and win rate.
Fear generated the highest total profit and trading volume.
Extreme Fear recorded the lowest profitability and win rate.
Traders achieved strong profitability during Fear periods despite negative sentiment.
Asset selection significantly impacted overall profitability.

Tools & Libraries

Python
Pandas
NumPy
Matplotlib
Seaborn
Jupyter Notebook

Author

Vaibhav Kumar
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Posted Aug 5, 2026

Analyzed Bitcoin sentiment's impact on trader performance using datasets.