ML Development & Engineering for Hong Kong Horse Races

Andrew Chauzov

Objective: To develop a predictive model for race day outcomes that lays the groundwork for a real-time betting system.
Developed efficient data processing scripts and enhanced feature engineering with TsFresh, adding over 25 critical features to the dataset.
Conducted classification analysis with accuracies ranging from 65% to 90% for different outcomes, optimizing bet amounts with Hyperopt.
Orchestrated an AWS-based pipeline with MySQL for data storage, delivering real-time predictions every 30 seconds via Flask.
Challenges & Outcome: Although the models achieved high accuracy levels, they exhibited occasional prediction variability, largely due to data-related challenges like extensive missing values and scarcity of data. This variability impacted the revenue generation to some extent.
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Posted Jan 14, 2024

Created predictive model for race day outcomes, leveraging AWS and TsFresh, achieving high accuracy with real-time predictions.

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