Projects in TrnavaProjects in TrnavaBTC EMA 9/26 Performance (BTCUSD, 1H vs 1D)
Tested a dual EMA (9/26) crossover model on BTCUSD across intraday (1H) and daily (1D) timeframes, evaluating BUYONLY, SELLONLY, and BOTH exposure modes versus buy-and-hold. Metrics focused on return, drawdown, volatility, Sharpe, and trade count.
Key insight: BUYONLY dominates on both horizons (1H: 83.56% return, Sharpe 1.72; 1D: 75.09%, Sharpe 1.47). SELLONLY consistently destroys capital, while BOTH captures trends but suffers from reversal drawdowns. BTC retains a strong long-side structural bias.
Full analysis available here:
👉 https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/btc-ema-926-performance-david-mes%C3%AD%C4%8Dek-ei7yf
