Global Retail Intelligence System: Product Success Prediction and Strategic Market Analysis

A multi-stage ML pipeline analyzed 44,888 Adidas SKUs using XGBoost and Random Forest to predict product success, demand trajectories, and stockout risk, finding that subcategory is the dominant success driver (~6× more explanatory than price, discount, or geography), the Success Classifier reached 94.3% accuracy and the Stockout Risk model 0.99 ROC‑AUC, 42.5% of products carry markdowns with deep discounts (≥30%) often eroding margins, 323 high-performing SKUs are under‑distributed and present near‑term expansion opportunities, the Budget tier outperforms Premium/Luxury in conversion to high performers, and 653 SKUs were flagged as high demand with elevated stockout risk requiring urgent replenishment.