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🧠 Built a prediction market trading bot from scratch, here's what went into it
Over the past few months I've been building Astra, an automated trading system for Polymarket's ETH/BTC 5-minute UP/DOWN markets.
Stack:
🐍 Python core engine
📡 Pyth Network oracle feed for price data
🔗 Direct Polygon CLOB API integration (no middleman)
📊 Bayesian probability filtering on entry signals
🤖 Telegram bot for live trade alerts
🖥️ Deployed on a VPS, running 24/7 via tmux
The interesting part wasn't the trading logic, it was the speed. Prediction markets move on tiny information gaps, so oracle latency and signal filtering matter more than raw prediction accuracy.
Backtested across thousands of historical markets before ever risking capital. Currently live and iterating.
This is part of what I do under Astratek, I design and build automation/AI systems end to end: from data pipelines to trading bots to multi-agent workflows (n8n + LangGraph + Claude API).
If you're building something similar, or need automation/AI systems built for your product — let's talk. 👇
(screenshots below: bot dashboard, live signal alerts, backtest results)
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$15,000 from one browser game takes 1 to 15 million plays.
I did the math because my first web game, built with Claude Code, went live on CrazyGames today.
Bolt Pit is a Three.js arena shooter. It has earned $0 so far, because CrazyGames keeps ads off during the Basic Launch test, which runs until November 5.
Only games with good numbers get a Full Launch, and that's where the ad revenue share starts.
The formula:
Revenue = sessions × ads per session × eCPM ÷ 1,000 × your share
eCPM is what advertisers pay per 1,000 ads. CrazyGames allows at most one midgame ad every 3 minutes. The share isn't public, and reports range from 40% to 60%, so I used 50%. The rest are my assumptions, based on reported ad rates:
Low: 1 ad per session, $2 eCPM = $1 per 1,000 plays. You need 15 million plays.
Mid: 2 ads, $5 eCPM = $5 per 1,000 plays. You need 3 million plays.
High: 3 ads, $10 eCPM = $15 per 1,000 plays. You need 1 million plays.
One developer reported about €1.20 per 1,000 CrazyGames plays across eight older games. That's the low case, so I plan around the middle at best.
Is 3 million plays realistic?
CrazyGames reported 320 million play sessions a month this October. Poki says it has 100 million players a month. The players exist. Retention and session length decide which line you land on.
That's the bigger reason I'm here. I have Unity games in progress that were meant for the App Store. On the App Store, I'd only find out if people come back after paying for players.
So the new plan is web first, App Store later:
Launch on CrazyGames and Poki, where test players are free.
Tune retention and session length on real data.
If a game becomes a hit on the web, take it to the app stores.
Both portals' exclusivity rules cover only the web, so the app stores stay open.
I'm also skipping CrazyGames' exclusivity bonus. It pays 50% more for two months if your game stays off other web portals, and I want to test on Poki too.
Getting a Claude Code build accepted took six fixes, including a static build, relative paths, no Google Fonts and cutting the size from 20.5 MB to 12.4 MB. One known bug is still live: on landscape phones the start button sits below the fold.
I'll post the real numbers as they come in. Play it here:
https://crazygames.com/game/bolt-pit
What if creating felt more natural? 🌼
Meet Muse, an AI creative companion that helps turn rough ideas into clear concepts.
The thought you can't quite explain. The idea that's still taking shape. The concept you're trying to bring to life.
Muse meets you right there.
For this identity, I explored a visual direction that feels playful, expressive, and full of possibility, a reflection of what creativity can feel like when you have room to explore.
Brand identity design for Muse.
Designed by Wizel_Identity. © 2026
#BrandIdentity #VisualIdentity #BrandDesign #CreativeTechnology #AI
T O P!
𝗬𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗕𝘂𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗲𝘀𝘀 𝗗𝗼𝗲𝘀𝗻'𝘁 𝗡𝗲𝗲𝗱 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗠𝗮𝗻𝘂𝗮𝗹 𝗪𝗼𝗿𝗸. 𝗜𝘁 𝗡𝗲𝗲𝗱𝘀 𝗦𝗺𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗦𝘆𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗺𝘀.
Think about how much time you spend every week doing the same things.
Replying to customer emails.
Following up with potential clients.
Updating spreadsheets.
Managing leads.
Moving information between applications.
Sending reminders and notifications.
Now ask yourself:
𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝗺𝘂𝗰𝗵 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗮𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆 𝗻𝗲𝗲𝗱𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝗲 𝗱𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗺𝗮𝗻𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆?
Many repetitive business tasks can be automated, yet businesses continue spending valuable hours doing them manually.
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝘁𝗼𝗽 1% 𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗱𝘀𝗲𝘁 𝗶𝘀𝗻'𝘁 𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 24 𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗿𝘀 𝗮 𝗱𝗮𝘆. 𝗜𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗯𝘂𝗶𝗹𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘀𝘆𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗺𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗲 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗯𝘂𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗲𝘀𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗲𝗳𝗳𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗲𝗻𝘁.
Imagine a workflow where:
• A customer submits an inquiry, and their details are automatically recorded.
• Incoming emails are categorized, and relevant replies are drafted for review.
• New leads are added to your CRM without manual data entry.
• Important tasks trigger notifications and reminders automatically.
• Your business applications exchange information without constant copying and pasting.
• AI helps process documents, organize information, and handle repetitive administrative work.
𝗗𝗶𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝘁𝗮𝘀𝗸𝘀. 𝗗𝗶𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀. 𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗮𝘂𝘁𝗼𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝘀𝘆𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗺.
That's what I help businesses build.
I've launched my new service on Contra:
𝗖𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗺 𝗔𝗜 𝗔𝘂𝘁𝗼𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗪𝗼𝗿𝗸𝗳𝗹𝗼𝘄𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗬𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗕𝘂𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗲𝘀𝘀
I build workflows using n8n, Python, and APIs to connect business applications, reduce repetitive work, and simplify daily operations.
My approach is simple:
• Understand your existing business process.
• Identify the repetitive tasks taking up your time.
• Build an automation workflow around your actual needs.
• Test the workflow and make sure it performs as intended.
𝗔𝘂𝘁𝗼𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱𝗻'𝘁 𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗲 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗯𝘂𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗲𝘀𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱. 𝗜𝘁 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗺𝗮𝗸𝗲 𝗿𝘂𝗻𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝘁 𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗶𝗲𝗿.
You don't have to automate everything overnight. Sometimes, solving just one repetitive problem is the best place to start.
Your time should go toward growing your business, not repeating tasks that a system could handle.
Explore my service:
Business owners and founders: What's one repetitive task you wish you could automate today?
#AIAutomation #BusinessAutomation #WorkflowAutomation
Well said! 🙌 Automating even one repetitive task can save valuable time and help businesses focus on growth.